القادم أسوء.. الليرة التركية تسجل أدنى مستوياتها في التاريخ
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سجلت الليرة التركية اليوم الثلاثاء انخفاضا قياسيا جديدا أمام الدولار حيث هبطت بأكثر من 2% لتسجل 10.28 مقابل الدولار.
ويأت الانخفاض الجديد ليكون الأسوأ في تاريخ العملة التركية التي تواصل هبوطها منذ فترة، حيث سجلت أمس هبوطا بنحو 0.8% عند 10.075 مقابل الدولار الأمريكي.
ووفق المؤشرات الاقتصادية تُعتبر الليرة التركية صاحبة أسوء أداء بين عملات الأسواق الناشئة هذا العام حيث تراجعت بنسبة تفوق ربع قيمتها هذا العام حتى الآن.
كما فقدت الليرة التركية ثلثي قيمتها في خمس سنوات مما قلص دخول المواطنين في مقابل تزايد التضخم إلى نسبة من رقمين.
ويعمق من خسائر الليرة في تلك الآونة صحوة الدولار الذي يتداول قرب أعلى مستوياته خلال أكثر من عام من ونصف.
توقعات بخفض معدل الفائدة في تركيا
ويتوقع الكثير من المحللين أن يتجه المركزي التركي إلى خفض معدل الفائدة إلى 15 في المئة من 16 في المئة خلال اجتماع البنك يوم الخميس المقبل، وهو ما تصفه وكالة التصنيف الائتماني فيتش بأنه خطوة أخرى في الاتجاه الخاطئ.
وبحسب خبراء اقتصاد فإن التدخلات السياسية التي يمارسها أردوغان في السياسة النقدية وراء انخفاض الليرة 27 % مقابل الدولار هذا العام، في ظل دعوات الرئيس التركي المتكررة لخفض أسعار الفائدة والتغييرات السريعة في قيادة البنك المركزي.
تدخلات أردوغان تعمق أوجاع الاقتصاد التركي
وكان الرئيس التركي قد قرر إقالة ثلاثة من أعضاء البنك المركزي التركي قبل قرار الخفض الأخير.
ويسجل الاقتصاد التركي بيانات سلبية على صعيد التضخم والتوقعات بشأن حركة المركزي التركي المقبلة.
وتراجع الحساب الجاري التركي إلى 1.65 بليون دولار بأقل من التقديرات التي كانت تتوقع تسجيل 1.7 بليون دولار.
وخفض البنك المركزي سعر الفائدة الرئيسي إلى 16 % من 18 % الشهر الماضي على الرغم من أن التضخم وصل إلى ما يقرب من 20%.
وتتوقع مؤسسة MUFG التابعة لبنك بنك طوكيو ميتسوبيشي يو إف جي بأن الليرة التركية ستواصل الهبوط دون مستويات 10 ليرة تركية لكل دولار خلال عام من الآن.
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