عفرين إلى أين..ماذا ينتظر مدينة الزيتون ؟

بقلم/دلشـير آڤـيـسـتا

ما هو مصير عفرين؟هل خسرناها إلى الأبد و صارت من الماضي ؟هل أخرجها ساستنا من أجنداتهم و من قواميسهم ولم تعد تهمهم ؟
هذه التساؤلات و إن اختلفت صيغة كل واحدة منها عن الأخرى لكنها عملياً تصب كلها في نفس المعنى و هي ما تجول على الدوام مخيلة و فكر الكثير من أبناء منطقة عفرين هنا وهناك و توخز مشاعرهم و عواطفهم و قد يتساءلونها من أقرانهم أو على الأقل يتساءل أحدهم بينه وبين نفسه في الوقت الذي لا يُرى بعد أي احتمال في الأفق ولو بشكل ضبابي بحيث يمكن للمرء أن يعتبر أن مسألة خلاصها من نير الاحتلال التركي مع هذا الاحتمال مسألة وقت لا أكثر قد يطول نسبياً.
و من جانب آخر هناك البعض يرون لسببٍ أو لآخر أن قضية عفرين و خلاصها هي قضية منفصلة و خاصة بحد ذاتها ليست هناك أية صلة أو علاقة تربطها بشؤون أخرى في الإطار السوري العام و من هذا المنطلق و بالإضافة إلى دوافع أخرى يقوم هؤلاء بتحميل كامل المسؤولية في هذا الشأن للإدارة الذاتية و كأنها مثلاً تملك عصا سحرية تحتاج فقط للتحريك حتى تعود الأمور إلى نصابها لكنها لا تحرك تلك العصا!!
هذا الموضوع بالطبع ليس لمجرد معاتبة هؤلاء بقدر ما هو توضيح لهذه المسألة الشائكة التي لا تحتاج مثلاً إلى مراكز أبحاث و دراسات معمقة لإدراكها بل فقط برأيي تحتاج إلى بعض التروي و إلقاء نظرة على المشهد السوري العام.
فقضية عفرين بالتأكيد ليست منفصلة عن بقايا الشؤون و الملفات التي أفرزتها الحرب في سوريا و إنما تتصل اتصالاً وثيقاً بأي حل شامل في سوريا و بالتالي يعتمد مصيرها على آلية هذا الحل المستقبلي و لو حاولنا أن نفصلها عن الشأن السوري العام فهي على الأقل تبقى متصلة حتماً بباقي المناطق المحتلة من قبل تركيا ابتداءً من إدلب أو أجزاء من أريافها و حتى منطقة سري كانييه (رأس العين) طالما أن المحتل هو نفسه لهذه المناطق.

ففي الإطار السوري و ما يمكن أن ينعكس إيجاباً على مسألة خلاص منطقة عفرين و مجمل المناطق الأخرى المحتلة تركياً دون استثناء هو مدى التفاف مختلف السوريين المؤمنين بالمشروع السياسي الذي يتبناه مجلس سوريا الديمقراطية حوله سواء أكانوا تحت مسمى قوى سياسية أو عسكرية أو منظمات حقوقية مثلاً أو فعاليات المجتمع المدني الخ و أن يأخذ الجميع دوره كلٌ حسب إمكانياته في مواجهة التدخل التركي و المطالبة بانسحابه حيث كلما ازدادت الأصوات الرافضة للوجود التركي كلما سهَّل ذلك المهمة أكثر و أبواب الإدارة الذاتية و عبر مؤسساتها المعنية مفتوحة أمام كل من يناشد التغيير و الإصلاح بعيداً عن الذين يسعون فقط للوصول إلى المناصب و تسلم مقاليد الحكم و إرضاء رغباتهم الذاتية.

و من جانب آخر و في سياق ارتباطها أيضاً بقضايا أخرى خارجة عن الإطار السوري برمته دعونا نأخذ على سبيل المثال الحرب الدائرة بين روسيا و أوكرانيا.
قد يقول قائل هنا و ما علاقتنا نحن بالحرب الروسية/الأوكرانية فما يهمنا هو أن تتحرر عفرين من الاحتلال التركي؟
بالطبع لا أحد أراد أن تكون هناك علاقة تربط هذه بتلك لكن شئنا أم أبينا هذا ما حصل لاحقاً فوق تعقيدات المشهد.
الجميع يعلم بأن روسيا هي التي منحت الضوء الأخضر بشكل مباشر للدولة التركية لتحتل منطقة عفرين و هي كذلك تدعم سياساتها بشكل أو بآخر في سوريا و تركيا رغم كل ترسانتها العسكرية الهائلة و أحدث الأسلحة الفتاكة و جحافل جرارة من المرتزقة كانت بحاجة إلى المواقف الدولية الداعمة لها لتستطيع احتلال المنطقة على الأقل أن تتمثل تلك المواقف بالسكوت و التغاضي و هذا ما حدث بالفعل؛؛ ما أريد قوله هنا أن أي تغير في أي موقف دولي تجاه تركيا و تدخلاتها في سوريا ولا سيما من الدول الفاعلة سواء أحدث ذلك سابقآ أو قد يحدث لاحقاً حتماً سوف يغير من قواعد اللعبة بالنسبة لتركيا و يضعف وضعها و عليه و في إطار الحرب الروسية/الأوكرانية و إلاما سوف يؤول مصير روسيا هل ستنكسر هل ستنتصر و كيف قد يصبح شكل العلاقة بينها و بين تركيا مستقبلاً كل هذا له ماله من تداعيات……
و لا بد أن نتطرق هنا أيضاً إلى مسألة عودة أو إعادة الدولة السورية إلى الجامعة العربية مؤخراً و المساعي التي تقودها المملكة العربية السعودية في هذا الصدد بالتأكيد هو أمر ملفت للنظر للغاية و الذي لم تتوضح طبعاً معالمه بعد و لا ندري كم من الوقت يحتاج الأمر حتى ينضج و تتوضح معالمه و مآلاته و بالتالي يكمن هنا التساؤل : بعد نضوج هذا الأمر مالتداعيات التي من الممكن أن تترتب عليه ؟؟ ما شكل العلاقة السياسية التي ستحكم بين سوريا و باقي البلدان العربية ؟؟هل ستكون علاقة مع حكومة تسيطر على جزء من الجغرافيا السورية؟؟ هل ستأخذ تلك العلاقة الجغرافيا السورية ككل بعين الاعتبار ؟ هل سيكون للدول العربية موقف موحد تجاه المحتل التركي و ستضغط باتجاه ضرورة انسحابه ؟
و في إطار مسألة الانسحاب التركي من تلك المناطق مستقبلاً فيما لو تم بحثها على طاولة الحوار سواء أكان ضمن مباحثات دولية أو إقليمية و بالتالي اتجهت مجمل التوازنات السياسية في ذلك الاتجاه فهذا يعني برأيي أن يكون الانسحاب من كافة تلك المناطق وليس من منطقة أو مناطق محددة بعينها بغض النظر عن آلية الانسحاب و الجدول الزمني الذي سوف يُعَدُّ له و أية منطقة سوف ينسحب منها الجيش التركي أولاً و أيهما أخيراً.
لنفرض أنه فاز في الانتخابات الرئاسية التركية مرشح المعارضة كمال كليچدار أوغلو الذي وعد أو لنقل صرَّح في أكثر من مرة أن مسألة انسحاب الجيش التركي من مناطق الشمال السوري المحتلة ستكون ضمن المسائل ذات الأهمية في السياسات التركية لاحقاً و كذلك عقد اتفاقيات مع النظام السوري و إعادة العلاقات إلى وضعها السابق قدر المستطاع هذا بالطبع لا يعني أن الانسحاب سيحصل بين عشية وضحاها بل حتماً قد يستغرق ذلك زمناً.
و بالعودة إلى الإدارة الذاتية و المسؤوليات التي تقع على عاتقها فيما يخص المناطق المحتلة من عفرين و رأس العين و تل أبيض و لو أن المسألة بتعقيداتها أكبر بكثير من إمكانيات الإدارة على مختلف المستويات لكن بالطبع و دون أدنى شك مطلوب دائماً و أبداً من الإدارة التحرك سياسياً و دبلوماسياً في هذا الصدد.

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