وسائل إعلام: أمريكا توقعت تمرد فاغنر وهذا ما ينتظر بريغوجين
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أكدت تقارير صحفية أن أجهزة الاستخبارات الأميركية رصدت مؤشرات قبل أيام على أن رئيس مجموعة فاغنر يفغيني بريغوجين كان يحضّر للتحرّك ضد مؤسسة الدفاع الروسية.
وبحسب وسائل إعلام أميركية، قدّم مسؤولون في الاستخبارات الأميركية إحاطات في البيت الأبيض والبنتاغون وكابيتول هيل بشأن احتمال وقوع اضطرابات في روسيا قبل يوم على بدئها.
وذكرت “واشنطن بوست” بأن أجهزة الاستخبارات بدأت رصد المؤشرات بأن بريغوجين وقوة فاغنر التابعة له ينويان التحرّك ضد القيادة العسكرية الروسية في منتصف يونيو.
ولفتت “نيويورك تايمز” إلى أنه بحلول منتصف الأسبوع أصبحت المعلومات ملموسة أكثر ومقلقة، ما دفع مسؤولي الاستخبارات لتقديم سلسلة إحاطات.
وأشارت إلي أن المعلومات بأن بريغوجين المعروف بطباخ بوتين ينوي التحرّك عسكريا أثارت قلق مسؤولين في أجهزة الاستخبارات الأميركية حيال إمكانية اندلاع فوضى في بلد يملك ترسانة نووية قوية.
ولفتت “واشنطن بوست” إلى أن الرئيس الروسي فلاديمير بوتين أُبلغ بأن بريغوجين الذي كان حليفا مقرّبا له، يخطط للتمرّد قبل يوم على الأقل من تنفيذه.
وبدأ عناصر مجموعة فاغنر الانسحاب من مواقع سيطروا عليها في روسيا بعد اتفاق مع الكرملين قضى بوقف تقدمهم نحو موسكو وخروج قائدهم بريغوجين إلى بيلاروسيا.
وبعد نحو 24 ساعة من الترقب عالميا بشأن مسار أحداث شهدت سيطرة مرتزقة فاغنر على مقرات قيادة للجيش الروسي وتقدم أرتالهم في اتجاه العاصمة، نزع فتيل الانفجار بتوصّل الكرملين وبريغوجين إلى اتفاق يوقف بموجبه الأخير تمرده ويغادر إلى بيلاروسيا إثر وساطة من رئيسها ألكسندر لوكاشنكو.
تعهدات موسكو
وتعهدت الرئاسة الروسية بوقف أي ملاحقات بحق المقاتلين وبريغوجين الذي كان من الحلفاء المقربين من بوتين، على رغم أن الأخير اتهمه السبت بـ”خيانة” بلاده وتوجيه “طعنة في الظهر”.
ولم يتضح صباح الأحد مكان تواجد بريغوجين بعدما غادر ليلا على متن سيارة رباعية الدفع مقرا للقيادة العسكرية في مدينة روستوف-نا-دونو كانت قواته قد سيطرته عليه.
وقال حاكم منطقة روستوف، فاسيلي غولوبيف في بيان عبر تلغرام، فجر الأحد، إن “قافلة فاغنر غادرت روستوف وتوجهت نحو معسكراتها الميدانية”.
وأظهرت مشاهد متداولة على مواقع التواصل، أن عناصر فاغنر غادرت مبنى مقر المنطقة العسكرية الجنوبية الروسية في روستوف نا دون، وسحبت جميع معداتها العسكرية من المدينة.
مغادرة بريغوجين
كما أظهرت مشاهد مغادرة بريغوجين، الذي تحدى وزير الدفاع الروسي سيرجي شويغو مدينة “روستوف نا دون” بسيارة.
وأكد المتحدث باسم الكرملين ديمتري بيسكوف إبرام اتفاق لتجنّب إراقة الدماء، بعدما تمّ تقدّم قوات فاغنر خلال النهار من دون قتال يذكر.
وشدد على أن “الهدف الأسمى هو تجنّب حمّام دم وصدام داخلي واشتباكات لا يمكن التنبّؤ بنتائجها”، مشيدا “بتسوية من دون مزيد من الخسائر”.
وأكد وقف أي ملاحقة قضائية بحق مقاتلي المجموعة الذين “لطالما احترمنا أعمالهم البطولية على الجبهة” في إشارة الى قتالهم في أوكرانيا.
الأمر لم ينته
ورأى محللون أن التمرد المسلح ستكون له تبعات على بريغوجين ومجموعته التي تنشط أيضا في مناطق نزاع حول العالم.
وقال الباحث في مركز الدراسات البحرية سامويل بينديت إن بريغوجين “يجب أن يرحل، والا فالرسالة ستكون أن قوة عسكرية يمكنها تحدي الدولة بشكل علني، وعلى الآخرين أن يفهموا أن الدولة الروسية لديها حصرية العنف (امتلاك السلاح) في داخل البلاد”.
واعتبر الباحث في معهد أبحاث السياسة الخارجية في الولايات المتحدة روب لي أن “بوتين وأجهزة الأمن سيحاولون على الأرجح إضعاف فاغنر أو تنحية بريغوجين جانبا”، مشيرا الى أن “الآثار الأكثر أهمية سيتمّ رصدها في الشرق الأوسط وأفريقيا حيث تتواجد فاغنر”.
وجاء إنهاء التمرد بعدما وصل مسلّحو فاغنر لمسافة تقل عن 400 كيلومتر من موسكو، بعد سيطرتهم على مقرات عسكرية في مدينة روستوف-نا-دونو قرب حدود أوكرانيا.
وسارعت السلطات المحلية إلى رفع الإجراءات الأمنية الاستثنائية التي اتخذت في مواجهة تقدم فاغنر.
وقال إيغور أرتامونوف حاكم منطقة ليبيتسك جنوب موسكو والتي دخلها مقاتلو المجموعة “بدأ رفع القيود المفروضة اليوم الأحد”.
وأضاف “في الأمد القريب، سنسمح بعودة الحركة في طرق المنطقة”.
وكان رئيس بلدية موسكو قد دعا السكان إلى الحد من التنقل، ووصف الوضع بأنه “صعب” وأعلن يوم الاثنين عطلة.
كما فرضت قيود على التنقل في منطقة كالوغا الروسية التي تقع عاصمتها على بعد 180 كيلومترا جنوب موسكو.
وساطة لوكاشنكو
واضطلع لوكاشنكو بدور رئيسي في الوساطة، وقد أعلن مكتبه أنه هو من اقترح على رئيس فاغنر وقف تقدمه.
وقال بيسكوف “ممتنون لرئيس بيلاروسيا على جهوده… المحادثة المسائية بين الرئيسين كانت طويلة جدّاً”.
وكان بوتين دان صباح السبت “الخيانة” وتحدثه عن شبح “حرب أهلية” في مواجهة التحدي الأكبر الذي واجهه منذ وصوله إلى السلطة في نهاية عام 1999.
كما حذّرت موسكو دول الغرب من “استغلال الوضع الداخلي في روسيا لتحقيق أهدافها المعادية للروس”.
لكن فيما أكد المتحدث باسم الكرملين أن تمرد فاغنر المجهض لن يؤثر على الهجوم الروسي في أوكرانيا، أعلنت كييف تحقيق مكاسب ميدانية.
وأعلن الجيش الأوكراني السبت “تقدمه في جميع الاتجاهات” على الجبهة الشرقية حيث أكد شنّ هجمات جديدة.
واعتبر الرئيس فولوديمير زيلينسكي أن بلاده باتت مسؤولة عن “أمن الجناح الشرقي لأوروبا”، حاضّا الغرب مجددا على تسليم بلاده “جميع الأسلحة اللازمة”، ولا سيما مقاتلات إف-16 الأميركية الصنع.
كما قال إن التمرد أظهر أن “القيادة الروسية ليست لها سيطرة على أي شيء”.
وأجرت الدول الغربية الحليفة لأوكرانيا مشاورات مكثفة السبت.
وتحدّث الرئيس الأميركي جو بايدن مع المستشار الألماني أولاف شولتس ورئيس الوزراء البريطاني ريشي سوناك ومع نظيره الفرنسي إيمانويل ماكرون.
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Good day! I know this is kinda off topic but I was wondering if you knew where I could find a captcha plugin for my comment form? I’m using the same blog platform as yours and I’m having trouble finding one? Thanks a lot!
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Today, I went to the beach with my kids. I found a sea shell and gave it to my 4 year old daughter and said “You can hear the ocean if you put this to your ear.” She put the shell to her ear and screamed. There was a hermit crab inside and it pinched her ear. She never wants to go back! LoL I know this is entirely off topic but I had to tell someone!
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