13 عاما من الأزمة..كيف أصبحت سوريا خاصرة الإقليم الهشة ؟

بقلم/ الإعلامي وعد محمد

من الواضح أنّ المنطقة آتية إلى تحوّلات كبرى غداة الحرب بين إسرائيل وحماس وليس بعيداً عن التصوّر أن تؤدّي إلى حربٍ واسعة تشمل الضفّة الغربيّة ولبنان وسوريا والعراق واليمن وربّما غيرها.

مثل هذه الحرب قائمة أصلاً اليوم بشكلٍ خافتٍ وبطيء ويُمكِن أن تتفجّر بشكلٍ أكبر في إحدى هذه “الساحات” أو في جميعها سويّةً، طالما أنّ سمة التصعيد الميداني بشكل مباشر إن كان بين الوكلاء أو من خلف الكواليس بين الأصلاء.

وبعيداً عن مآلات “الفوضى الخلاقة والشرق الأوسط الجديد و مساعي الدول الإقليمية لفرض هيمنتها على دول المنطقة كتركيا وإيران التي عاثت خراباً منذ ما عرف بالربيع العربي.

ما يحدث من متغيرات ناتجة عن هذا التنافس والتصعيد والوضع المحتقن هو نتيجة الصراع الدولي القائم بين روسيا والغرب ومن خلفه أمريكا فالظاهر انه لا شريك دوليّاً من أجل صنع “سلام حقيقي في المنطقة الملتهبة.

هذه التطوّرات كلّها تستحقّ قراءة جديدة في المنطقة برمتها وعلى وجه الخصوص الأوضاع في سوريا ومن قبل السوريين قبل غيرهم.

وكذلك مراجعة تتخطّى آلام ثلاث عشرة سنة عجاف منذ أول يوم من الأزمة وتتفحّص مآلات البلد، أو ما بقي منه، إذا وقعت حربا كبرى تشبه بتفاصيلها الحرب العالمية الثانية وتُرِكت الأمور والقضايا لفوضوية المشهد المرسوم مسبقا من قبل لاعبين عابثين بمصير هذا البلد أرضا وشعبا.

معالم التقسيم اليوم رسمت بكل وضوح فهي مقسمة لثلاث مناطق يسيطر على كلّ منها طرف مناقض للطرف الأخر ومختلف وقوى أمر فرضته واقعية الميدان والسياسة تحت بنادق القوات المحلية والدولية

انقسامٌ يترسّخ يوماُ بعد يوم بدعم الجهات الإقليمية المنطلقة من أجنداتها التاريخية والسياسية وعلى راسها أنقرة التي تدخلت منذ اليوم الأول بشكل سلبي عبر آلتها الخشنة لتقضم أجزاء واسعة من خريطة هذا البلد المكلوم ولتحل مساحة جغرافية كبيرة تتجاوز مساحة دولة لبنان.

واقع خلق حالةٌ من التعقيدِ والتشابك يعيشها الملف السوري بين أزماتٍ داخلية وتدخلاتٍ خارجية إقليمية، ودولية، منذ آذار/ مارس 2011، تاريخ انطلاق الحراك الشعبي في سوريا كآخر دولةٍ مرّ فيها ما يُعرف بقطار الربيع العربي، والذي لم تكن سكّته سالكة كباقي الدول الأخرى، التي أجبرت رؤساء الدول إلى حجز تذكرة مغادرة كرسي الحكم، خاصة وأن السلطة في سوريا نجحت في البقاء، على الرغم من كل ما جرى، مما فرض على جهات كانت معارضة للرئيس السوري بشار الأسد على التعامل معه كأمرٍ واقع.

اجتماعات ومؤتمرات

قضية السوريين وازمتها عُقدت تحت عنوانها العديد من الاجتماعات واللقاءات والمؤتمرات لتسقط الأيام فيما بعد ورقة التوت عن عورات كل من ادعى الاهتمام والعمل لإنقاذ السوريين، لتكذب وتكشف الوقائع على الأرض، بأن السوريين وجغرافيتهم كانوا ضحية البازارات السياسية بين العديد من الأطراف.

على الرغم من الجهود الدولية لإنهاء الصراع في سوريا، والتوصل إلى حل سياسي، على قاعدة القرارات الدولية المتعلقة بالشأن السوري، إلا أن هذه المحاولات لا تزال بعيدةً عن الواقع السياسي، بل على العكس، وُزّع الدم السوري وسُكب على عتبات القاعات، وقُتلت طموحاتهم برماح الأطماع، والصفقات والبازارات.

فما بالك الأن  يتسأل سائل كيف يمكن أن يكون هناك حل في ظل هذا الإقليم الملتهب والتي تعتبر سوريا الحلقة الأضعف فيه؟

بكل تأكيد سوريّا المقسّمة هي الحلقة الأضعف والخاصرة الرخوة في الحرب القائمة أو في الحرب الكبرى التي يُمكِن أن تندلع وينفجر برميل بارودها بين المتصارعين في حالة الحرب وتغيب عن أي مفاوضات سلام وبطبيعة الحال لا مكان لها وهي الأكثر حاجة الى سلام حقيقي مع شعبها أولا ومع اعداءها ثانيا لإنهاء المعاناة بجميع أشكالها وألوانها.

فكيف ستكون المحطة الأخيرة لسوريا في ظل هذا الواقع السياسي المر ؟

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